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Modeling Species Diversity in Succession

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In an ecosystem undergoing succession, the rate of change of species diversity, D, is modeled by the differential equation dDdt=k(Smax−D)\frac{dD}{dt}= k(S_{max}- D), which has the solution D(t)=Smax−(Smax−D(0))e−ktD(t)= S_{max} - (S_{max}- D(0))e^{-kt}. Given an initial diversity, D(0), of 10 species, a maximum diversity, SmaxS_{max}, of 50 species, and a rate constant, k, of 0.05 per year, calculate the expected species diversity after 20 years.

A

Approximately 45 species

B

Approximately 35.3 species

C

Approximately 30 species

D

Approximately 40 species

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