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AP Environmental Science/Unit 9: Global Change
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Logistic Model of Species Adaptation

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The probability that a species will successfully adapt to environmental changes is modeled by the logistic function P(x)=11+e−0.5∗(x−2)P(x)=\frac{1}{1+e^{-0.5*(x-2)}}, where xx is the ratio of the species’ generation time to the rate of environmental change. Which of the following statements is NOT true?

A

At x = 2, the probability of successful adaptation is 1.

B

The derivative of P(x)P(x) is maximal at x = 2, making it the point of greatest change in adaptation probability.

C

The function is logistic, transitioning smoothly from 0 to 1 as x increases.

D

For values of x much greater than 2, the probability of adaptation approaches 1.

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