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Geometric Distribution Parameter Change

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In a statistical experiment, the probability of finding an honest person is 0.120.12. The number of people encountered until an honest person is found can be modeled with a geometric distribution. If the probability of finding an honest person increases to 0.150.15, how is the probability that the first honest person is the third one encountered affected?

TABLE: Geometric Distribution Parameters

Parameter Original Value Modified Value
p (honesty) 0.12 0.15
Trial 3 3
A

It decreases to less than 5%5\%.

B

It remains the same as before.

C

It becomes exactly equal to 15%15\%.

D

It increases to roughly 10.84%10.84\%.

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