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Chi-Square Test Association Versus Causation
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A researcher conducts a chi-square test for independence using data from a survey of 500 people to examine the association between party affiliation (Democrat, Republican, Independent) and support for a new policy (Support, Oppose). The test yields a chi-square statistic of 15.2 with a p-value of 0.004. The researcher concludes that party affiliation causes the difference in policy support. What is the error in this conclusion?

A

The error is in inferring causation from a test that only establishes association between the variables.

B

The mistake is in calculating the chi-square statistic; with a sample this size, the statistic should be lower.

C

There is no mistake; a significant p-value directly implies a causal relationship between the variables.

D

The error is applying the chi-square test to non-categorical data, which makes the conclusion invalid.

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